What a storm, and it’s only the first!
BOISE, Idaho (KBOI) —
The skies have opened up across Idaho and it’s dumping snow over the west central mountains! Up to 9” of snow has fallen since the afternoon and more storms are on the horizon! In fact, the latest computer models show what could be in an unsettled stretch of weather that will continue for the next 7-10 days! No particular storm looks super impressive, but, the pattern shows one steady storm after another. As we have seen with this first storm, that is good enough.
So why the change? How do we go from being dry and mild for so long to all of a sudden seeing a change toward a wetter scenario? The answer is that the high pressure that was blocking the storms for so long has finally shifted well east of Idaho. It’s being replaced by a steady flow coming in from the west-northwest. Just the flow alone will allow temperatures to drop to more normal levels. Plus, with the absence of high pressure, the storms will be allowed to freely move in from the Gulf of Alaska.
This is great news since we hit a record high temperature today of 58 degrees. This broke the old record of 57 degrees set back in 1998. Don’t get me wrong, I love a nice, mild winter day. But too much of a good thing in January can spell trouble when the hot, summer months roll in. Now is the time to generate our snowpack. It becomes our time released reservoir that feeds our rivers and brings life to an otherwise desert environment.
It will be interesting to see if the storms pay attention to the computer models. In my 38 years of forecasting, I’ve learned that persistence is often the better part of a forecast. Translation? What has happened is likely to continue to happen until something significant causes a change. I think this pattern may just be the change we’ve been needing. Stay tuned.